January 3rd, 2012

The Housing Market Update

Envoy Mortgage

Brought to you by:

Jonathan Bowen
Branch Manager
Office: 800-394-5252
Cell: 401-829-1929
jbowen@envoymtg.com

89 Mussey Road

Scarborough, ME 04074
www.envoymortgagemaine.com

Pending Home Sales Hit 19 Month High:

The number of Americans who signed contracts to buy homes in November rose to the highest level in a year and a half. The best reading on pending homes sales since a federal home-buying tax credit expired appeared to encourage traders on Wall Street.

The Realtors group said Thursday that its index of sales agreements jumped 7.3 percent last month to a reading of 100.1. A reading of 100 is considered healthy. The last time the index was that high was in April 2010, one month before the tax credit expired. 

Contract signings usually indicate where the housing market is headed. There's a one- to two-month lag between a signed contract and a completed deal.

Homes are the most affordable they've been in decades. Long-term mortgage rates are at historic lows and prices in most metro areas have tumbled since late 2006.

What Happened to Rates Last Week:

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +95 basis points from last Friday to the prior Friday which moved mortgage rates lower.
We had much better than expected U.S. economic data.  Pending Home Sales, Consumer Confidence, and the Chicago PMI were all very strong. 
Normally, these type of strong readings would cause bonds to sell off and your mortgage rates to rise.  But last week was a holiday shortened week that saw very low volumes.
Traders simply "parked" their funds into the safe-haven of bonds over the holiday week which increased demand for bonds and temporarily lowered mortgage rates.

What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week.  They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.  I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date

Time

Economic Event

3-Jan

10:00

Construction Spending (MoM)

3-Jan

10:00

ISM Manufacturing

3-Jan

10:00

ISM Prices Paid

3-Jan

14:00

FOMC Minutes

4-Jan

7:00

MBA Mortgage Applications

4-Jan

10:00

Factory Orders (MoM)

4-Jan

16:00

Total Vehicle Sales

5-Jan

8:15

ADP Employment Change

5-Jan

8:30

Continuing Jobless Claims

5-Jan

8:30

Initial Jobless Claims

5-Jan

10:00

ISM Non-Manufacturing

5-Jan

11:00

EIA Crude Oil Stocks change

6-Jan

8:30

Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)

6-Jan

8:30

Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

6-Jan

8:30

Average Weekly Hours

6-Jan

8:30

Nonfarm Payrolls

6-Jan

8:30

Unemployment Rate

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets.  Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon. 

  

 

 

Envoy Mortgage
89 Mussey Road, Scarborough ME, 04074
Phone: 800-394-5252
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